Recent comments in /f/wallstreetbets
Wander21 t1_ja2mjxk wrote
Reply to comment by xsportbikeriderx in What Happens From Here? by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME
Not to mention current money supply just can't support Spy 5000
secrtive13 t1_ja2min6 wrote
I'm bagholding 500 shares at like 5.50ish. It hasn't even attempted to retest $10 (with any real strength) let alone teach those lofty analyst price targets of 15-25+. Guess football stadiums aren't the business...until they are. I'll be holding until at least $11, so I'm stuck long term.
SoFi...needs to fly.
TheDudeAbidesFarOut t1_ja2ma0f wrote
It's only at $6 so it's got room to drop.....guess I'll go short.
tony_boxacannoli t1_ja2m8ua wrote
Reply to comment by Impressive-Ant-9471 in Dicks Sporting Goods Earning report on 3/6/23 by danuser8
SnipahShot t1_ja2m1jw wrote
Reply to comment by Humble_Increase7503 in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
>while stock based comp is to be expected, it remains an irritation. ~$70m in SBC last quarter alone is crazy.
Not really an irritation, it is insignificant. For one, it is a non cash expense.
And for two, a large portion of that expense is related to PSUs that were awarded after the IPOE process, PSUs with price targets of 25, 35 and 45 (volume weighted average for over 90 days) within 5 years of IPOE. Whether these vest eventually (one or all) doesn't matter one bit, will anyone complain if the stock price is at $45 within the next 2-3 years? Or at $25? If they don't vest then no dilution happens making it pointless.
CudiMalone t1_ja2lwxg wrote
Reply to Wendy's Earnings by Exam_Intelligent
Sir, this is a Wendy’s.
sinncab6 t1_ja2lvo6 wrote
Reply to comment by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME in What Happens From Here? by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME
Something tells me you've never lived through an era with sharp rate hikes. Hint: The market corrects itself and it takes a while.
SnipahShot t1_ja2li5q wrote
Reply to comment by DYTTIGAF in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
Have you even looked at their fundamentals? Bankruptcy? How do you invest in a company that you don't understand their fundamentals or financial status.
Let's look at how much money SoFi has, shall we?
As of Q3 2022 (10K is not out yet) SoFi had 10,662,995K unpaid principal on their loans. (page 27 of the 10Q)
Out of all of that, 2,314,950K are from warehouse facilities (page 51 of the 10Q).
Out of the remaining, SoFi also had 5,031,630K deposits (page 4 of the 10Q).
After accounting for both, SoFi had $3.3B of their own money in loans (seeing as there are only 3 sources of money to fund loans).
Now, this is just their own money that is in loans.
This is assuming all deposits are used for loans (which they quite possibly are not), this is also ignoring their cash and cash equivalents of $935mil in Q3 which would include their revolving facility money of $486mil.
​
Now, for them to actually actually head to bankruptcy they have to spend more than they make. But it doesn't really work that way with GAAP accounting because GAAP accounting counts non cash expenses as well, for example SBC expenses.
From their cash flows and my own spreadsheets, Q3 marked SoFi's first quarter where SBC expense is higher than their actual net loss, meaning they are actually increasing their own cash situation. In Q3 the difference between SBC expense and the net loss was about $3mil, in Q4 that difference increased to $30.9mil (while SBC expense was decreasing from Q2 to Q3 and then to Q4).
​
In a later reply I saw you said SoFi has issues selling securitizations, that is plainly wrong.
SoFi literally sold 2 securitizations in the last 4 months (440mil and 340mil) within a day, both receiving AAA ratings from 3 different rating companies. Finsight
The buyers of these securitizations? Bank of America, Cantor Fitzgerald, Goldman Sachs, JPM, US Bancorp, Mizuho, Citigroup and Deutsche Bank. This is on top of them doing whole loan sales because securitizations are less profitable to do. In Q3 they sold $1.08B of loans (value of unpaid principal on them) for which they received $1.1B for (page 35 of the 10Q).
Loose_Screw_ t1_ja2l983 wrote
Reply to comment by [deleted] in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
Is it that different though?
Radiologer t1_ja2kqx4 wrote
Reply to comment by PossibleBank7152 in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
Radiologer t1_ja2kp05 wrote
Reply to comment by Dpope32 in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
Bagholder spotted
lostsomuchmoney t1_ja2kc9a wrote
Reply to comment by S-U_2 in Wendy's Earnings by Exam_Intelligent
Lose
paperfkinhandz t1_ja2kblv wrote
Reply to comment by Modelminorityperson in What Happens From Here? by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME
You should get PenFed. They have better rates than navy
mehmeh42 t1_ja2jvox wrote
Reply to comment by Dpope32 in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
Either it is forgiven to not destroy the banking system as a whole from losses on A/R reductions on the BS and the gov pays, driving inflation higher. Or the gov forces people to start paying their loans back and A/R turns into Rev which wii be returnable earning rises …
PossibleBank7152 t1_ja2jqwd wrote
Reply to comment by Doodoonole in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
Holding close to 6000 shares so yes
smokinjoe569 t1_ja2javl wrote
Reply to comment by Dpope32 in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
They are tech based on that they don't have branches but they're still a financial institution. Getting deposits has a cost with it and their loan portfolio isn't really geared towards a higher rate environment.
SnipahShot t1_ja2ipzl wrote
Reply to comment by DYTTIGAF in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
>Can't do everything (and be good at anything). The market is pricing this stock to reflect its poor management (and vision execution).
Lol, what? They are literally beating estimates and guidance in every report. They grew 52% in 2022. They are literally guiding for GAAP profitability in Q4, moved from Q1 2024.
Modelminorityperson t1_ja2i47y wrote
Reply to comment by Milot25wallst in What Happens From Here? by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME
There are 2 credit cards with no balance transfer fees and promotional interest rates for the first 12 to 18 months on balance transfers. I am currently paying my debt off with the Navy federal credit Union platinum card. You have to be a vet or related to one.
Impressive-Ant-9471 t1_ja2hnln wrote
Reply to comment by tony_boxacannoli in Dicks Sporting Goods Earning report on 3/6/23 by danuser8
Cause you can’t reach the bottom but you’ll scrape the shit out of the sides
Head-Attorney3867 t1_ja2hlnv wrote
Reply to comment by Arlo1515 in Bing vs chrome by Arlo1515
I use Google. It's a rather newly developed distrust(last 3 years)
joeyjoejoeshabidooo t1_ja2hi65 wrote
Reply to comment by Milot25wallst in What Happens From Here? by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME
And I have zero. So I’ve already halved the average. You’re on the high end.
nucleargeorge t1_ja2hcb2 wrote
I too am down 60% on SoFi shares.
Humble_Increase7503 t1_ja2fjx7 wrote
Reply to comment by DYTTIGAF in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
It’s up 15%+ since the beginning of the year, unless you meant since the beginning of 2022, to which I say, find me a non profitable growth stock that isn’t down, a lot, since then
Carvana is not a reasonable comparable at all
paulsfriendzach t1_ja2fc2c wrote
Reply to comment by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME in What Happens From Here? by B3stAuD1t0rofA11tiME
Great film
SnipahShot t1_ja2mphb wrote
Reply to comment by [deleted] in Why SoFi is Poised to Take Over the Fintech Industry: An In-Depth Analysis by [deleted]
Okay, and your point is what?
Their deposits grew from $1B in Q1 to $7.34B in Q4 with 80% being from members with direct deposit . Oh, I am sure they cry every day for your $25 while they make 1.9% more money from interest on their loans compared to their warehouse facility loans.