I honestly just had this thought yesterday. Why was I born in such a time to witness humanity getting there? When I was born, PCs weren't even a thing yet. Seems a bit too weird to be just coincidence. Maybe it is though.

Bro, singularity hasn't even happened yet.

Perhaps they process their code and kill everything, then keep building defunct rockets and crashing into things, or perhaps build a capacitor and charge it with electricity until everything explodes. Perhaps it can't wrap it's head around solar collectors and just runs out of energy?

Worst case scenario: AI is actually not sentient at all and without supervision creates errors that dismantle it after a while due to inability to sustain itself.

Or, we are a freak accident of sentient matter in what is essentially a matter based computer- turns out in a plot twist of fate we are actually the "AI" all along.

Would be funny if they’re already coming hahaha

YOU LIVE IN THE SINGULARITY @ STILL NO DISHWASHER @ BECAUSE THERE IS NO JOB TO BUY A DISHWASHER

Even MS are speculating that LLM alone are not going to solve some of the problems they see with ChatGPT's ability to reason. ChatGPT has no ability to plan, or to solve problems that require a leap of logic. Or as they put it, the slow thinking process that overseas the fast thinking process. They have acknowledge solutions proposed by other authors that have recognised the same issue with LLM's have suggested a different architecture may be required. But this seemed to be the least fleshed out part of the paper.

You waste too much time trying to explain this reality with a simulation theory. You know why? Because even if we assume there are higher dimensions with "living beings", we would still need to explain their existence and thus we end up in the same place. They would be asking the same questions about their reality as us. So what is the ultimate reality? What is the origin of everything? What is everything? It is an endless, paradoxical loop that has no answer. That's where the existencial crisis kicks in.

They you would have the ASIs colonizing the universe. Where are they?

80% sounds like a wild stab. I second that current systems are not original. Sure, they can stumble on something unique, but anyone can if they try hard enough. And computers can combine items faster than we can. Some of the combinations might be meaningful, but AI doesn't really know because they have no model of the world.

I don't think we can say much about GPT 4 because OpenAI is secretive about it. But it can't be AGI unless OpenAI invented something extraordinary. If they did, they would be fools to expose it to the world just like that.

It looks like he's talking about neurosymbolic systems or RNNs. IMO we need spiking neural networks hardware. The architecture would probably be something novel that we don't even have a name for yet.

>but I can imagine

Translation: I can give you examples of inventions/innovations talked about on the internet and present them as though they are my own.

Well as you mention the light speed has a limit and when you are observing the universe due to that limit you are observing just a very limited portion of it and also very old, since to “see” something we need light.

And we know is very old because when we watch the furthest possible away we are literally seeing the start of the universe happening right now

So, who knows if the universe is plagued of civilizations or AI, the reason we don’t see them is because we are seeing everything around us with a massive delay

Also the universe can be even bigger as we consider, after all we only can see the observable part of it which is regulated by the light speed. It could be perfectly be that is so much big that we are just a very small point on it that perhaps is just placed in a very empty and boring region

For last consider this: we live in the same world than many other biological species, so much in the same place than we often clash with them (we have them in in our homes in our gardens…). But even having them so much present, when is the last time you have considered an ant or a squirrel relevant at all for your life? Even having them so near? You didn’t, because intellectually they mean very little for you, that much that you don’t even think on them.

So if there are extremely advanced and intelligent species out there who are much more intelligent than we are compared to our ants and squirrels, with the gap of the exponential growing that Ai would have, we would be nothing else than more ants and more squirrels. For them and our ants and our squirrels

Models

Which is the most likely outcome imo

And it spells disaster.

and thats a bad thing how?

who gives a damn on who models the clothes.

We aren't far away from just taking a photo of a shirt, and having generative image generators putting the shirt onto any model you want.

My response to the question "why would we create a simulation like this?" is what if this is a simulation but not a simulation which was purposely created? When AI goes through a generative process to design something like a more efficient antenna, for example, it creates and tests thousands of permutations, gleaning insights from each generation to factor into the next iteration. What if we're just an iteration in a massive volley of simulations? What if we're just some backwater spin-off glitch that hasn't even been detected as the simulation isn't even about us? So many possibilities

But you would need to dress and pose the mannequin, which isn’t going to be the easiest job. I would also guess that the model is the cheapest part of a photo shoot in most instances; photographers and studios are relatively expensive.

Large Language Models ---like ChatGPT.

What is “llm”

Not a lot more... A lot less. You have to hire each person, woth this, u need one mannequin, then you can get an infinite amount of different people

What if all aliens get killed when they reach ASI

I think it’s most likely a simulation/experiment of some crazy AI/alien who doesn’t give shit about our experience.

If we get AGI, you will be living in Star Trek. That’s the point.