>Hopefully a pushback of doing real things with real people will emerge.

Are you serious?

I mean, it’s really a philosophical conversation. I look at humans as a very successful species that has done many terrible things but on the balance we seem to be improving over time just in terms of simple things like infant mortality, longevity, access to education over the last, 150 200 years humanity has made huge improvements.

I’m of the opinion they were actually a pretty positive force on this planet, and that a lot of our self hatred comes from an over reliance on this idea that we are all atomized individuals on this eat or be eaten planet. But we’re really highly social creatures that are the result of an evolutionarily process that we are as much a part of now as we ever were. Yes, we do war but we also have managed to do things like make friends with dogs and write stories that connect us over millennia.

I’m not saying there isn’t a lot about our species that sucks, but I’m pretty confident that the more human data and AI is trained on the more it’s going to have a perspective that is planetary, egalitarian and reflective of our curiosity and desire for connection and our search for meaning and love. AI like all art it’s just a mirror, but this is a mirror that we can shape and bend into anything we want.

Are you in nevada? That is the only place it's been registered to operate as of today. Otherwise, yes you are still driving a level 2. No matter what your experience is, there takes a certain level of criteria to be certified as level 3. Tesla doesn't just get some magic pass. They dont have it. They are close, but by going off radar they will create more problems than they will solve.

That's honestly super sad.

And some people actually look forward to such a future?

Well, there is an inherent risk of developing cancer, but that risk isn’t likely any higher than getting the flu or any other virus—especially so since he used an AAV. Still risky, but he seemed to know what he was doing, which would have lowered the chances. No released paper yet though, which would seem odd given what he has ‘supposedly’ done.

How about we serve ourselves?

I guess I feel we get a choice. History has shown even all encompassing human institutions don’t last when they fail to deliver to the masses. Seems like we live in an age where multinational conglomerate’s and governments are widely viewed to be viewed as institutions that are failing the expectation that they’ll just continue forever, and ever seems to me more fantastical than the idea that people will develop new institutions that would replace the ones that are failing now.

If you could be bothered to get up and go to the bathroom and eat, probably could be done very cheaply. If you want someone to clean your literal shit, and we don’t have robots yet that can do it probably very expensive. Frankly I’d want more than $600 per day just for my labor if I had to clean you up every day, not even talking about doing that for 20 people a day say.

Thanks for the answers. What alternatives do you have from LLMs? The single GPU is interesting Indeed, it would allow me to let it run 24/7

I'm honestly not sure if they meant human population, given the context. If human level intelligence can run on the future's equivalent of an IoT device (a pretty large assumption, granted), there may be a LOT of AI people even as humans decline.

I have no PhD in economics, but it seems to me that Altman will say anything to attract new investors. What he says doesn't make sense to me either, and he might not really believe it himself. Anyway having lots of personal robots like in a science fiction story won't be feasible for decades. IMO you can have several self-driving cars and simple robots but nothing capable of replacing skilled workers.

Currently Deep Learning systems are static, meaning that they are trained once and their parameters don't change. IMO that is not good enough. More realistic spiking neural networks are small because no one is that interested in them yet. Spinnaker in Manchester can simulate about 8 millions synapses. Spinnaker 2 that TU Dresden is building is ten times larger, but as I said they have a small budget. If they receive billions and with a bit of luck other things improve, we could get 80 billion/trillion simulated synapses or more. Not enough for a full simulation of a brain but maybe good enough for some of Altman's proposals.

why are you so evil?? you would create sentient being just so they could live in these harsh places while you live comfy on earth?

Running llms on a desktop is something very interesting, but running on a phone doesn't make any sense... Just send a request and get the response, it probably is gonna be faster and much less battery demanding .

I wouldn’t say it’s AGI, but I would also say you don’t need AGI to kick off the Singularity. 😉

I’ve seen this and it’s a great idea. But it don’t fix the planning permission, land, utilities, road and sewers costs which is what brings the price right up

Open Source options are a great remedy for this issue (See Stable Diffusion). Now we just have to get the same thing for LLMs.

its even worse for ar. people refuse to see how ar glasses can be better than carrying a phone or laptop. eventually it will probably be enhanced eye/neural implants.

What has value when it's supply is infinite or cheap.

Lactose-free milk what they can.

This doesn't seem to add up to me.

First, the future doesn't appear to be set in stone, and treating statistics like it's a spawn chance against every slot that might exist doesn't work. There may be a quadrillion people in 5000 years, or there may be zero. You can't roll dice against schroedinger's humans, at least not with this kind of intuitive math.

Second, demographers estimate 109 billion people have lived and died in the past 192,000 years. While you have a higher chance of being born in this period over any singular, specific period prior, the vast majority of human lives exist in the bulk who are already gone.

Put another way, there's more people than ever right now, but if you had even odds of being born at any time in human history up till now, there's a 92.7% chance you'd already be dead in 2023.

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I'm more than certain it's going to be a hard takeoff at this point. There's no reason to assume an advanced LLM or an actual AGI would take as long as a Human to mature.

I would say ever since 2011 the soft takeoff camp has been getting a weaker and weaker case.

I remember that video being posted on Reddit a while ago and everyone said he’d get cancer.

But wasn't everything moving to run on servers? I was told it was the future of consoles...

Cool I can't wait for the future where I can live in a mud hut.