Recent comments in /f/singularity

FC4945 t1_ja2alma wrote

There's certainly no way to know what ASI will truly be like as our monkey brains can't possibly conceive of it. Nor can we imagine what we will be like once we multiply our intelligence a billion fold. That's why it takes the name from a blackholes. You can't see what happens beyond the event horizon of a blackhole.

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Motion-to-Photons t1_ja2a8mq wrote

I reckon Ray has a pretty good handle on this when he predicted that it will occur sometime between 2029 and 2050. But at some point in the next 3 years or so we should at least know if it’s going to be a hard take off or not.

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Motion-to-Photons t1_ja29lm6 wrote

Dum question, but let’s say this time next year we are indeed running a 13-billion parameter LLM on our top spec home GPUs, how long would a response take? With images I’m happy to wait 60 seconds for a really good result, but would I wait that long for a reply from an LLM? Perhaps we are running 13-billion parameter models next year, but it might by be another 4 or 5 years until we would actually want to?

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WarAndGeese t1_ja28t3v wrote

Yes, the problem isn't that we shouldn't be doing it, the problem isn't that we haven't been doing it up until now.

Of course, it's not like we would come up with specific taxes on spreadsheet software and calculators. The financial gains from those are supposed to funnel their way down into profit that we tax, however there are such flaws in the tax structure that they aren't funneling their way down, so we aren't effectively taxing to collect some of the benefits that we get out of things like spreadsheet software and calculators.

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7734128 t1_ja28p59 wrote

Lol. At about 10 seconds in, the system sticks one of its fingers through the strawberry and then pretend to grab it afterwards. Who releases something like that as a promo video?

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