I've been a software developer for about thirty years now. This AI codes better than a college graduate, and can write unit tests in seconds. Personally I plan on using it to make myself more efficient. But yes, it's going to be an epic shift.

What? I recommended getting an Internet job so they'll still get money.

Yes. Investments everywhere, AI being applied in drug discovery and biological research, attention from big companies leading to investment feedbacks.

It will come naturally as computing and AI itself enhances and speed up medical research.

It's not a explosion but a snowball

With all due respect, that is a horrible advice. People must eat. Only the homeless care abouz nothing.

It is better to play it safe and get a job that is not touched for a long time as boomers are retiribg now

Riot for universal basic income.

Thanks for commenting.

If you were given the option to be hooked up IV to a drug that would give you the sensation of intense pleasure, x10 stronger than you'd ever experienced, and the effect was guaranteed to never wane. You'd be laying in bed like a vegetable, doing nothing, but experiencing this incredible pleasure. Nurses and staff would keep you alive until your body aged and died 100 years from today. Would you do it, and would you say that it was a great life?

If a life of pleasure is all you need, the above is pretty much as good a life could be, right?

Thinking through the thought experiment above is what made me conclude that I want more out of life than pleasure. But it would be interesting to hear if others see it differently, and perhaps feel that this would be a great life.

"your leaders and govern-ments" - sheeple always needed a Shepherd

That's fair, thanks for the correction.

The products of automation will all goto the rich. They will gate all benefits of AI from the working class to keep their power.

In the United States, the government will tactically nuke protestors on the grounds they are "communist sympathizers' before they ever consider a UBI.

I’m a librarian so theoretically I’ll be fine until physical robots increase in efficiency and drop in price, but in practice, I’ll be screwed by the side effects of civilizational collapse from mass unemployment long before that. No taxbase means no libraries means no salary for me.

It makes no sense aiming to be an electrician when you have a college degree in electric engineering. Don't sell yourself short. Your degree matters.

I would aim to be something like a safety inspector, state and federal laws requires all kinds of regulation. And there is private insurance, insurance coverage requires so many degreeholders to be part of companies.

AI may approach fast, but bureaucracy fights tooth and nail before anything change. This is a good time of entry. Boomers are retiring in big numbers.

If you can land a job that is tied to bureaucracy, especially government, you can sit this out. Most important, cheer up.

Best case, you rubber stamp files in 15 years and let AI do the real work. Play video games all day in your home office and cash in checks.

Something to dream about man. Worst case, you can always be an electrician.

GPT 4. ChatGPT is just ChatGPT, and it's based on GPT 3.5

May be i can be a sex worker.

I don’t know how old you are, but a shitload of people lost jobs when workstations happened, then everyone had a big white box and a big white screen and thousands of jobs were lost, then high speed internet and more jobs were lost... but in the 90’s and the 00’s things were booming right? Because the disruptive technology opened up a lot of brand new jobs and opportunities. A lot more, much better jobs than those that were lost... I predict the same will happen here. I’m so hopeful for all that will come to pass...

İ will have sex.

Well, I'm more than happy to be wrong, the sooner the better, but like I said I think it's probably gonna be AI that cracks this problem.

Most physical jobs are hard pass for me. If there's no other way, I could deliver pizza or newspapers... There's no Big Plan. I am invested passively through monthly contributions in managed baskets of ETFs. Or at least that's what they told me. Also I dabble in crowdfunding, but that is kind of risky, so I don't overdo it. I have another passive stream, but it will dry up soon. Obviously I want another one, but it is a hassle. I don't know how old you are, but you could look into the financial independence retire early movement. It requires a lot of discipline, though. But I am not certified to give financial advice. I have no PhD in economics.

I dont have anything to back this up with but i have good feeling about this one !

Get my UBI bucks, because blue collar jobs alone aren’t enough to sustain our current economic system. If all white collar work is automated, those employees get let go, they’re not spending money, all businesses receive less money, then they have to let people go and now we’re in a quagmire where so much is automated but no one has disposable income.

That’s not a win for anyone. The real shot callers in America have their wealth primarily from equity ownership. If no one’s purchasing products/services, then they’ll have very little power since their wealth is tied to consumers buying products/services from the companies they own.

I don’t see how else we can bridge the gap from our current economic system to a post scarcity/highly automated economic system without UBI.

>"That isn't in humans yet, let's make that clear"

That's the rub.

Until we actually see some kind of rejuvenation that works in humans we don't know.

It COULD be a step, but it could just as easily be yet another 'in-mice-only' procedure that goes nowhere.

I still remain in the camp that we won't see huge breakthroughs in rejuvenation and LEV until AI is finally fully let loose in the field.

You should read the book Life 3.0. He discusses this topic at length about how humanity evolves alongside our new AI overlords.

My main plan is to try to have enough in assets before it happens that I'm not worried about it. My first backup plan is to not let myself get too far away from the physical aspects of my job that I can't make a case for going back to them. (I'm a scientist in biotech, so I want to be in a position where I can tell a next employer "I missed working at the bench," if I need to in order to get a job.) Second backup plan is to have skills for a job that won't be automated at the same time as my primary job. I have my real estate license, but I think that could be automated before my science job, unless all the various Boards of Realtors lobby the hell out of things to always require a person involved. Failing that, I think I might able to help a friend flip houses this year. This will give me more skills in construction/renovation, and possibly also help with the main plan.

Good analysis.

I'm going to be stuck making sure these systems can run, I think, at least for a good while.

It's fun to imagine a world where AI replaces all knowledge work but there are areas AI is going to itch that even it won't be able to scratch.

My advice is to get an Internet job and keep it until AI automates all jobs (which, given how fast AI progress accelerates, should happen this decade).

Not having to work for a living isn't a bad thing, it's a good thing, but I do understand the concerns about how well the translation between work and non-work will be handled.

Supporting UBI is the best option until post-scarcity starts with the advent of the nanofactory.