Humans naturally polarize into extremes by vilifying those with "opposite" beliefs/opinions/thoughts.

The Ai doomers vs Ai optimists.

We don't know if our solutions to the Ai control problem will be sufficient.

Replika is primitive right now but in 10 years it'll be insane.

Dont focus on negative things this creates negative people.

Focus on positive things this will create positive people.

I'm so tired of negativity online, leave people alone. Everyone has different paths to happiness it doesn't have to be like yours.

The arguments are not good. It's good for people to talk to someone even if that person is not real. It can help people mentally.

AI right now is primitive anyway, in the future we will have actual synthetic minds in our pocket. AI chatbots will be something else entirely 10 years from now

I'd rather date an AI than trying to search for some girl on tinder... Or wasting years of my life on abusive partners...

Youtubers need to make money. Truthfulness is secondary...

I think most of your ideas are correct, but I don't agree with your readings of Sam's facial expressions.

I feel like even here people generally don’t think big enough. If we manage to create AGI with greater than human capabilities, we’ll have basically invented god.

It’s probably impossible to imagine what that could mean.

> Simply put, the poor, uneducated, extremely religious minded, are the main drivers of the fear complex

Oh come on… Have you seen /r/technology recently? Have you read mainstream tech journalism? Have you watched science fiction? There is a very negative, very cynical view of technology that’s become mainstream in recent years, and it’s coming from the cultural elites.

One thing that I've not seen anyone pick up on was Fusion, as far as I know Mr Altman is backing Helion, that 'having something to show very soon' and 'commercial by 2028' are likely telling as to what Helion are getting up to.

Edit: might as well add the refs here too: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sam_Altman#Nuclear_energy https://techcrunch.com/2021/11/05/helion-series-e/

Well another problem here is that they've really just completely destroyed their own moat with 3.5. unless again... They know they have 4 and they're not worried about somebody else getting there in the interim. I don't know if there's much proprietary here for them... That's what's the head scratcher for me.

It may be multimodal. And that may have been the difference in achieving some semblance of AGI. That is 100% speculation, but I worked with an NLP for a long time that focused on human level metadata editing of sound files at scale. There is plenty of data out there to feed into the machine.

But on a more certain level, you have to realize that language itself models reality and LLM's when they are able to more accurately model language itself, they're able to produce a more real reality. Some of the things that is doing right now in terms of errors and dumb mistakes, those won't be happening anymore. We will have a lot more difficult of the time sussing out what's real and what's not. The banal ways that it communicates now... I don't think that that will be the case either.

Yeah, I agree it's not that revelatory, but it was kind of cool to become totally convinced through this little exercise.

And I agree. Unless everyone is way dumber or more oblivious than I thought the DOD is heavily involved. There's no way they can afford to just let this happen. I'll admit, though, that I'm a little surprised at how much of this has happened in the public eye. I would have figured the billionaires and state leaders would have swooped in with offers that couldn't really be refused a while ago.

I can see the movie, Transcendence being a template for what may happen. The technophobes will be out trying to destroy technology because of their fear.

They may just go all Sarah Conner. If only humans embraced AI and the world could have been saved, but they had to go out and destroy technology, out of fear.

I do think it was a decent movie and worth watching.

Do you know what 4 can do that 3 can't? I keep hearing all the hype around 4 and I'm really curious what 4 can do better than 3. 3 is already mind blowing lol.

The CEO of Rippling already came out and said that 4 is basically AGI. My guess is he got drunk one night and spilled the beans on Twitter and then deleted the tweet when he realized he pissed off his silicon valley bros.

It's a pretty common belief right now in the right circles that 4 is going to be problematic to society. I think all indications point to 3.5 being a trial balloon for the ways that the common folk will receive it. I've been in tech marketing for quite a long time and my mind could not wrap around the notion of introducing a half-cocked product (to describe the chat as lightweight is generous) when you have another one that is clearly superior only two quarters away.

And then to tease it as though 2022 is going to be a "sleepy year" by comparison? I don't think you need to look into the non-verbal cues here. It's pretty clear that Altman knows what's going on and he's sitting on something big.

What's problematic here is... If this is indeed AGI or an AGI proximate, there's not a lot that they're going to hold back if they're in competition with deepmind. There's too much money at stake to be the kind of careful they need to be.

Another thing that I'm not hearing about right now is if the Department of Defense is involved. It's hard to imagine AGI being privately developed without them putting their thumb on the scale.

Edit: grammar.

So ironically algorithmic

Yeah, this is one of the crazier things I've done in a while.

Honestly, i dont really see how smartphones could be better theyre already at peak changing almost nothing year to year. Weve been stuck with smartphones for 15 years at least, time to change the device.

Based

I wasn’t as anal about the expressions as you were, but when I watched it and heard his tone, it definitely felt like there was lot he was trying not to say. I definitely get the vibe there’s a lot going on in the background of AI.

Depends on whether you act them out in world or not, as I said.

Granted this is AR, so not really metaverse.

I just think that for decent AR glasses we will need to wait for the 2030s. But we will at least get decent smartphones this decade.

Yeah, I still suspect it won't be till between 2028 to 2032 for when transistor density and battery technology enables AR glasses to meet market demands for performance and comfort.

>attracted to teenage girls or worse.

>not their thoughts or fantasies.

Wait, so which is it? Are fantasies OK or bad?

To be fair AI is going to create economic upheaval, in the long term it should be an overall positive. In the short term it should accelerate job loss to the point that governments have no choice but to start rolling out UBI