I give it 20-30. Think about what it would take to create a robot that can go into your house, crawl into your crawlspace (everybody's is different), analyse the specific problem that your house has, fit new pipes/wires including turning off your electricity or water supply, something which is also specific to each house. How long have we been told that self driving cars are 2 years off? Because as an engineer, this is a much more complicated problem.

“A while” being like 5 years tops

It goes both ways. They exaggerate some issues to make profit, and ignore others completely to also make profit.

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Major communities will be. I'm sure remote ones will be fine. Sure, they'll suffer loss of product. But most remote communities could also fend for themselves

Aquaman probably died trying to get his way up to the surface; dude couldn't even inhale with all those microplastics

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Because space junk is more important than junk on our planet? I guess it's all important. But not while consumers are consuming and manufacturers are manufacturing! Go capitalism!

You do know that the first ever chatbot was created with the aim to be a therapist, right?

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You are too naive to think that effective therapy wouldn't be overtaken by AI. If that therapy has a pattern, then the AI will find that, and perfect that. The only jobs that would be left out would be either research jobs that require forming something completely new, in a sense that even a thorough literature study won't count as a research job. And jobs that require human interaction. And maybe jobs that require very specialized motor skills, like how a dentist will carry out an operation, and that will be also a matter of time until hardware keeps up with software, so I wouldn't rule out their replacement. Everyone would be obsolete but not the R&D dudes and sex workers, basically virgins and sluts wouldn't be replaced. Anything in the middle is fucked.

COINTELPRO used against your own citizens is how you know you live in a democracy with free will.

/s

We create the context.

The detritus of your daily insipid lives...

The memes Jack.

There are plenty of jobs that are safe from AI. But anyone with a cushy desk/computer job might want to consider learning some new skills.

Toilet repair is fine!

It could be a ‘live, original digital holographic show’ with synthetic AI digital avatars. Each show could be unique and tailored to feedback based on that audience’s reactions.

Archaeologist is a job that will be impossible for AI. At least until they have physical bodies and human-equivalent intelligence. In the US, it’s a job in very high demand the next decade.

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I think you’re going to be very surprised at how effectively AI will be able to take the thing I just said and repeat it back to me as a question.

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I would love an AI therapist. But, that said, I think the majority are more comfortable with sharing emotional states with other humans. Yes, telling deep dark secrets might be easier to something you're certain won't judge you, most of the time therapy is about mundane but relatable issues people are trying to connect and process. Communicating genuine empathy or sympathy isn't likely to happen soon because it will need time for acculturation, people will have to grow up being told how to interact emotionally with an AI therapist.

Anything that requires actual creativity and manual dexterity. Aka every tech job outside of basic coding.

The world actually runs on good enough fixes. AI as it exists now is never going to have creativity. Calling it AI at all is embarrassing. It’s elaborate plagiarism that impresses morons.

That’s nothing new, it has just been automated.

When “AI” is capable of actual thought then this becomes a different discussion, and we are nowhere remotely close to that.

Do me a favor and read about The Butlerian Jihad in Dune and why it got started.

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