Recent comments in /f/Futurology

bakerfaceman t1_ja63b4a wrote

Dude get into gardening and permaculture design. It'll help you feel some control over how things turn out. Also, you'll develop useful skills if what you're worried about actually happens.

You're definitely right there's a big risk of some really awful stuff happening. Try not to let it consume you and build resilience in your local community. Don't live your life online.

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KeaboUltra t1_ja62aft wrote

that's what people probably thought about the internet. something Geeks only used and it didn't threaten anything until whoops, who reads newspapers, uses beepers, or does most things that don't involve the internet anymore. We are so ingrained with the internet that if we lost it, society will collapse. AI has the same potential. it took 20 years for the internet to change the world, how long do you think it'll take an AI, a technology based on automation and efficiency, to completely take over our lives? ChatGPT came out December 2022 and already being used in multiple fields of the world. It isn't even properly trained or completely accurate yet. It will be but if something so infantile can cause this much of a ruckus, then it's maturity will be devastating.

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Sleepdprived t1_ja62826 wrote

This. Imagine scanning a site and handing your client a pair of goggles as you walk around they can see 3d overlays of the plans and you can adjust or make changes in real time to set the blueprints. Then as it is being built the ar glasses project the blueprints and lengths or angles directly on materials in real time.

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Mason-B t1_ja624u2 wrote

Reply to comment by Cryptizard in So what should we do? by googoobah

I already admitted I rounded up the 6 year old by publication date paper there. I should have said half a decade.

Do you have a substantive counter point instead of nitpicks? (In something I wrote from memory in 30 minutes?)

Because I would very much enjoy being wrong on this.

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nobodyisonething t1_ja61mpt wrote

The future will be MUCH MORE individualized than anything anyone has ever experienced in human history.

In the near future the movies you watch will be MOVIES MADE FOR YOU. The podcasts you listen to will be generated real-time for you just like you want to hear them. Your music will be the only music you care to listen to. And it will be generated fresh every day, like bread from the baker.

The echo chambers of today will seem like quaint children's tree-house forts in retrospect just a few years from now.

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Fallacy_Spotted t1_ja61kc9 wrote

The present is the best time to be alive by many orders of magnitude and it is likely to get better. The big picture stuff has little effect on peoples day to day lives. The advancement of technology is what is really impactful at improving our quality of living amd that is only excellerating. As for climate change, renewable just recently surpassed fossil fuels for effeciency. Now that this line has been crossed the snowball effects of capitalism will take over and extremely rapid progress will be made in the next 20 years. We still need increased efforts by the government to buy back energy for carbon capture though. This will be the hard part because the benefits are long term and largely invisible.

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Mason-B t1_ja61gpk wrote

Reply to comment by Cryptizard in So what should we do? by googoobah

Getting this in before you try and block me again to snipe your responses in.

> You say that current AI is the same as it was 15 years ago (I am using your exact language here)

No, my exact language was:

> > All the things that were imagined being possible with the tech 15 years ago is now today here.

Also (edit),

> You said moores law has been slowing for decades and would be the main bottleneck for the future, I show you actual evidence that it has only very slightly started to slow since 2010 and somehow now that was your argument the whole time lol.

I said Moore's law in either incarnation would be a bottle neck, but it is also slowing (in a parenthetical no less!). Over long periods of time the slowing trend becomes obvious.

> > it would take 70 years at a minimum if the computer industry managed to double at it's current speeds (which has been slowing down for decades, take that into account and it's closer to 90)

It's like you are trying to find enough nitpicks to justify stopping arguing over a technicality.

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kideatspaper t1_ja619y7 wrote

Like you said it’s pretty niche right now just because VR glasses are expensive. But as an architecture student I would totally take advantage of it if I could. Scale is weird sometimes, and I’d love the opportunity to actually be inside of the thing I’m designing to make sure everything feels the way it should in the space. I’ve also seen on YouTube that certain shoe or furniture designers use it which makes a ton of sense.

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Cryptizard t1_ja618dl wrote

Reply to comment by Mason-B in So what should we do? by googoobah

You said moores law has been slowing for decades and would be the main bottleneck for the future, I show you actual evidence that it has only very slightly started to slow since 2010 and somehow now that was your argument the whole time lol.

You say that current AI is the same as it was 15 years ago (I am using your exact language here), I point out that transformers are very new and different, you say oh but those are 5 years old.

This is the definition of moving the goalposts. Like I said, you are not interested in an actual discussion, you want to stroke your ego. Well, you aren’t as smart as you think friend. Bye bye.

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Mason-B t1_ja5zzwq wrote

Reply to comment by Cryptizard in So what should we do? by googoobah

> It’s astonishing how you make like a dozen points and almost every single one of them is flat wrong.

Hmm, I think I'll just quote you: "Cool comment. Excellent details to back up your assertion lol"

> but I will say that Moore’s law has not been slowing down for decades

Links story showing Moore's law is two years instead of the original assertion of 18 months. Cool story bro.

> transformer/attention models are explicitly a new theory that has made the current wave of AI possible

Which is over 6 years old from publication now, with some lead time before that. I may have rounded up to decade, but still, no new theory on the horizon.

> and I am a computer science professor and I program all the time an am well-versed in what AI can and can’t do at the moment.

After getting my graduate degree I got distracted by my better paying side gig in the industry. But more or less, same.

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