Recent comments in /f/Futurology

Gari_305 OP t1_ja5dkay wrote

From the article

>If wormholes exist, they could magnify the light of distant objects by up to 100,000 times — and that could be the key to finding them, according to research published Jan. 19 in the journal Physical Review D.
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>Wormholes are theoretical funnel-shaped portals through which matter (or perhaps spacecraft) could travel great distances. To imagine a wormhole, suppose all of the universe were a sheet of paper. If your starting point were a dot at the top of the sheet and your destination were a dot on the bottom of the sheet, the wormhole would appear if you folded that sheet of paper so the two dots met. You could traverse the entire sheet in an instant, rather than traveling the entire length of the sheet.
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>Wormholes have never been proven to exist, but physicists have nonetheless spent decades theorizing what these exotic objects might look and how they might behave. In their new paper, the researchers built a model to simulate an electrically charged, spherical wormhole and its effects on the universe around it. The researchers wanted to find out whether wormholes could be detectable by their observed effects on their surroundings.

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Cryptizard t1_ja5d7l8 wrote

Reply to comment by ianitic in So what should we do? by googoobah

You can say that, but it doesn't make it true. The algorithms are extremely different. The attention/transformer model is what made all of this recent progress possible.

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mrm00r3 t1_ja5d45u wrote

I guess they could help with the photography at a lot of weddings before vaporizing most of the people who’d be interested to see the shots.

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BoysenberryLanky6112 t1_ja5d077 wrote

Outside of some borderline cases like if you're from Ukraine or Iran or Afghanistan, economically you are better off than at any point in history. Climate change is a problem but finally people are admitting it's real and stepping up to the plate. Even oil and gas companies are getting into renewables and governments all over the world are subsidizing research on how we can help minimize climate change and also minimize the impacts of it.

As for AI, I create ai models for my job. People are wildly overblowing how powerful they are. They're very good at pattern recognition, but a level of ai that will come anywhere close to rivaling humans is centuries off imo, not years or decades. It's worth noting that most of what you said could have been said at any point in human history. I actually think you're missing something that's even a bigger deal than everything you put here, and that's potential nuclear war. Russia using one in desperation, Iran getting one and using it because they're a theocracy that is willing to die for an eternity in heaven, it just doesn't look great.

But for all of history, these things have been predicted. And for all of history, none of it happened. Maybe this time it's different, but probably not. Also even if it is, what do you gain by worrying about it? Unless you have a solution to any of those problems that no one else has thought of, you're only going to get depressed by thinking about that. Spend time enjoying your own life, finding meaning in your own life by creating connections with friends, family, and community, and only worry about things you have the power to change.

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ianitic t1_ja5chec wrote

Reply to comment by Cryptizard in So what should we do? by googoobah

Most of the models are based on the same core algorithms from decades ago. The biggest improvements has been from moores law which will end in 2025 at current rates. Even without moores law ending, we are far away from an agi.

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pigeonsmasher t1_ja5bayh wrote

There’s nothing esoteric about learning idioms. Amazon immediately turned up several books worth of German-English idiom translations. I learned dozens of Russian idioms in college and I barely paid attention. Especially considering it’s a language tool, idioms have got to be some of the first things it learned

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kaidomac t1_ja5b7ax wrote

part 2/2

I previously worked in the career field. Despite all of the negative (and also fun reading!) at places like r/antiwork, there's never been a better time to get into the workforce:

  • More than 12,000 different types of jobs are available. In Colonial America, agriculture was the primary job for 90% of the population.
  • There are over 11 million job openings available right now.
  • We have access to virtually all of the information available on earth through the Internet. Google, TikTok, Youtube, Pinterest, etc. contain more information than any one person could ever learn in their lifetime!

As George Carlin said, "Ya gotta wanna!" If a person is absolutely determined to be unhappy & to buy into the fact that because the world can be a dark place and therefore they MUST be unhappy too, then that's their choice! You have a narrow track ahead of you in life:

  • You're only alive for a few decades
  • You're only going to interact with a finite number of people during that time
  • What ship do you want to sail throughout your course in life? Misery & defeat? Or happiness & contribution? The seas are going to be rough either way, but that doesn't mean we have to allow ourselves to sink! As the saying goes, "Ships don't sink because of the water around them; ships sink because of the water that gets in them."

What we choose to focus on & what attitude we choose to adopt determines a large part of our happiness & progress in life. No one gets to dictate our level of happiness other than ourselves. No one can force us to adopt a positive or negative attitude or outlook on life. WE get to choose, even if it's a reactive attitude that happens by default!

>AI : im not against it but is changing fields and things that shouldn't be changed like art , now the ai is making art and literature my biggest fear is regarding to music is the most beautiful art that could exist , i can't imagine a future where the music is made by an ai , for the jobs i still very neutral, the population seems to be decreasing so it could help us to control the problems that this could make but it needs legislation faster as possible to avoid the abuse of this systems against people by the wealthiest one's

I work in computers; let me put your fears to rest: AI is a tool. Yes, it will replace jobs, but there's a magic thing that happens every single time a new tool is introduced: hyper-fractionalization!

Cars replaced horses & now we have an endless sea of car dealerships, gas stations, and repair shops. Computers replaced typewriters. Photoshop & digital photography changed the photography game. Human creativity & contribution isn't going to be replaced by AI but rather supplemented by AI. More people are going to have more power to do quality work thanks to the audio, video, writing, editing, and other tools that are quickly becoming available!

>So my fear's are more a possible collapse or a dystopia, i want to have hope for a better future, but everything seems to be worsening

Yes and no. It's both getting better AND getting more difficult at the same time! More challenges present more opportunities for figuring out creative solutions, whether it's for COVID vaccines or reconfiguring the food chain to handle supply & distribution issues to keep food on the shelves or for reducing human casualties in the war efforts through the use of drones or any number of situations in play & solutions being created!

Did you know that despite having more than 8 billion people in the world, we actually, today, right now, produce enough food for 10 BILLION people? Our biggest issue isn't supply, it's distribution! We have absolutely incredible amounts of resources available, but we're still lagging behind in so many ways:

imo, our job as individuals who want to make an ongoing, positive contribution to the world is to cultivate grit:

The world has never been a better place, thanks to advancements in education, knowledge, shipping, medicine, technology, etc., but it's also never been a more difficult place. We get to choose how we navigate the sea of life. We're free to focus on the negative, but given the tremendous opportunities at our feet, that seems like a colossal waste of opportunity for anyone who is willing to venture out of the FUD mindset that modern society tries to impose on us on a daily basis!

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kaidomac t1_ja5b67b wrote

>i want to see a more open perspective and different opinions

My first suggestion would be that if you want a good book on perspective, read "Man's Search for Meaning" by Viktor Frankl. My second suggestion would be to buy into & internalize this idea, as well as spend some time thinking about whether it's really true or not:

  • We get to choose our level of happiness in life

This concept will be instantly rejected by some people, but that's simply a cop-out. The reality is that we each get to choose the stories we tell ourselves, which guide how we feel & what behavior we engage in. We live in a world that has 24/7/365 to media FUD, which makes it easy to doom scroll & get disheartened all day, every day, which is a choice that we choose to make as to what to expose ourselves to. This is a good quote to ponder:

  • "Your perception becomes your reality"

What you choose to do with your life & what you choose to expose yourself to are going to strongly contribute to how you feel & how you perceive the world, especially if you're like me and are already prone to anxiety & depression. The world isn't really any different than it has been for the past 5,000 years of recorded human history:

  • Natural disasters are happening
  • Wars & atrocities are happening
  • There are diseases, famines, and other major problems in all parts of the world

The difference is that rather than just being an hour of nightly news, it's on everyone's feed ALL the time! So from a high level, it begins with making a conscious choice about what you choose to expose yourself to & what you choose to focus on. The world has always been a difficult place; we can choose to focus on the negative, or, and here's the key change:

  • We can choose to focus on making a contribution

More reading: (2-part post)

We are all free to focus on all of the bad stuff in life & when we get to our deathbeds, look bad and say gee, I spent a lot of time focusing on the negative, living in fear, and not using my talents & effort to contribute positivity to the world. Or we can realize that we're not in charge of the world & that our stewardship is for our little niche in the world, at this time, at this place, and that we get to decide how we both react & act to our specific situations & circumstances in life. If you're open to that idea, read through this thread here:

If you want to get right down to brass tacks, here's your options for how to play the game of life in a nutshell:

  1. You can be a sponge for the negative
  2. You can be a force for good

Many people don't want to take responsibility for their personal success & happiness in life and prefer to believe that the world is such a dark & overwhelming place that all they can do is absorb it. If that's the best story they want to tell themselves, well, it's a free country! We can let anxiety & garbage beliefs rule our life if we want to, but it doesn't have to be that way!

part 1/2

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BulletRazor t1_ja5az5s wrote

Of course people have been predicting doom forever. Because it’s a well known fact that all species go extinct.

is an undeniable fact that we are overpopulated. Humanity has needed 200,000 years to get from some 10,000 humans to 1 Billion in 1810. Then we needed just 210 years to get from 1 Billion to 8 Billion.

This massive population is consuming too much resources and causing too much pollution. If everyone lived like an American we would need 5 Earths. Even if everyone lived like the average citizen of Indonesia we would still need 1.1 Earths: How many Earths? How many countries? - Earth Overshoot Day (https://www.overshootday.org/how-many-earths-or-countries-do-we-need/)

The problem is that even if we lived like the average Indonesian we would still need to reduce our living standard/consumption even further because world population is still increasing, expected to hit 10 Billion by 2050.

To accomodate 10 Billion people - we would have to reduce our living standard to the level of medieval peasants.

Modern Agriculture in form of the Green Revolution was the only way how we could feed 7-8 Billion people - temporarily. Because the Green Revolution was and is based on cheap fossil fuels. These are running out. On top of having reached peak oil we have also reached peak water and peak farmland and peak artificial fertilizer.

The only way how we could somehow prevent or at least minimize the effects of this is to reduce the population. This in turn would cause less resource consumption, less agriculture, less fossil fuel consumption, less pollution, less everyting.

This is only possible when people accept that we are overpopulated, accept that its not bad pointing that out and accept that there are nonviolent ways to reduce the population. Because if we increase our numbers further - the future will indeed be dire with Billions of people starving and hundreds of millions dying from starvation.

Humanity made a Faustian bargain with fossil fuels to sidestep the resources avalable in finite ecosystems. Where formerly the planet could only sustain two billion people, industrial agriculture was able to expand the population to eight billion, and it continues to feed the global population.

Now we know that fossil fuels are poisoning the biosphere and causing climate change, but if we stop billions will starve. Fossil fuel civilization IS ending though, and we'll soon find ourselves back to relying on local ecosystems to feed many more billions than they ever did before. And this time we'll have to do this without artificial fertilizer or cheap methods of mechanized tillage, irrigation, harvest and global distribution.

No one does anything against the ultra rich and biggest companies who are responsible for 70%+ of pollution.

The switch to a more eco friendly lifestyle is embarrassingly slow in the general population.

We are sprinting towards the point of no return when it comes to climate change.

The Earth can’t even handle the current population getting a decent standard of living RIGHT NOW. It would take 1.1 Earths to give the global population in 2012 (about 7 billion people at the time, it’s over 8 billion now and counting) the same living standard as the average person in China in 2012, accounting for resource consumption, land use, carbon emissions, etc. According to the cofounder of the organization that provided the data for the graphic, this is a SIGNIFICANT UNDERESTIMATE since “there are aspects on which no good data exists that we don't include, so our demand on nature is larger” as he stated in the article.

For context, the average Chinese person made just a bit over $5.50 a day when the infographic was made AFTER adjusting for price differences between countries. That’s about $2000 per year.

The Earth CANNOT handle a population of 8+ billion people living a lifestyle where they make just over $2000/year, adjusted for price differences between countries. This standard of living is FAR below what any housed person in a developed country could endure, nevermind enjoy life in, no matter how hard you try to make it sustainable. There is no way to provide a pleasurable existence for the 8 billion people alive now, never mind the 10 billion or more projected to exist by 2100. It will only get worse as developing countries industrialize and consume more resources per capita as populations boom and resources (many of which are nonrenewable) dwindle, especially with climate change dramatically exacerbating things. The only moral solution is lower birth rates unless you want a global genocide, eternal poverty for most of the planet (as is happening now), or mass famine.

Then there are the horrific effects of climate change and resulting flooding, resource depletion, natural disasters, wars, immigration crises, etc. The climate crisis could displace 1.2 billion people by 2050 and its effects on the environment, water supply, and agriculture are already causing shortages even though we aren’t even close to the expected temperature increase, reaching net-zero emission targets yet (if ever), and the effects of emissions from the past 10 to 20 years hasn’t even kicked in yet.The second article also states that “some experts predict the earth will run out of topsoil within six decades.” If you thought the right wing backlash to the 2015 Syrian refugee crisis or Mexican immigration to the US that gave a global resurgence of the far right was bad, you haven’t seen anything yet. Not to mention, political crises and wars like the Arab Spring and the rise of terrorist organizations were exacerbated by rising food prices and water shortages caused by climate change.

But let’s say this is wrong and the planet can handle 11 billion or more people. Even then, there are still only a finite amount of resources available. As a result, those resources will be diverted away from the people who are already alive to the newborns. Why should everyone else accept reductions in their own quality of life so other people can have children?”

Anything short of the ENTIRE world deciding collectively overnight to abolish capitalism and live completely sustainable lifestyles (aka impossible) isn’t going to change the current situation much. And again, even then, resources are finite.

So the answer question of statement of “it seems like things are getting worse” it’s because it is. Do I think it’ll all fall within my lifetime? Absolutely not. These things are going to take time, but the condition of the Earth is certainly not going to get better. Although in the long run it doesn’t matter much because as much as we kill the Earth, all we’re doing is making it unsustainable for ourselves. The Earth will bounce back after we have obliterated it.

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FuturologyBot t1_ja5ahw8 wrote

The following submission statement was provided by /u/Gari_305:


From the article

>The United States Air Force has reportedly developed AI-powered facial recognition techechnolgy (FTR) for autonomous drones.
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>The drones will be used by special operations personnel for missions overseas and for gathering intelligence and other operations, according to a contract between the Department of Defense (DoD) and Seattle-based company RealNetworks.
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>"The U.S. Air Force has completed a project to develop face recognition software for autonomous drones, sparking concerns that individuals could be targeted and killed," New Scientist reported on Wednesday.


Please reply to OP's comment here: https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/11cv1ul/us_develops_aipowered_facial_recognition_tech_for/ja55st8/

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