Recent comments

sdmat t1_jegivhn wrote

There's also a huge opportunity for speeding up scientific progress with better coordination and trust. So much of the effort that goes into the scientific method in practice is working around human failures and self interest. If we had demonstrably reliable, well aligned AI (GPT4 is not this) the overall process can be much more efficient. Even if all it does is advise and review.

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lions239 OP t1_jegiuz5 wrote

Oh yeah the time horizon is just the over the amount of time I've had the 401k, so about a year and a half. Thanks for the book rec, I'll check it out!

As for the other rec, would one of the ways I would accomplish this is by reducing my Roth 401k contribution to the company match and then using that money? What kind of "account" do I open with them? Is that what a Roth IRA would be or this is something different?

Also, for my federal student loans, should I just pay those off monthly once it resumes? Any reason to explore just paying them all off at once right now?

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SublimeTina t1_jegiujv wrote

Yes we are just focusing on that now because we can’t always do what we want because we have a kid and when kid sleeps and we are done cleaning up we like to watch something in the few hours we have before going to bed and waking up at 7 am to our son

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mistersmiley318 OP t1_jegiu3c wrote

For those unfamiliar with the concept, a leading pedestrian interval lets pedestrians go for at least a couple of seconds before the signal for cars turns green. This is a ridiculously cheap intervention that measurably improves pedestrian safety through increased visibility in crosswalks. I'm not sure if it's been implemented District-wide, but it's at a ton of intersections now and at least in my experience, it definitely feels safer. Sometimes DDOT can do stupid things, but I'm real glad they made this change and wish it was more common across the US.

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joepublicschmoe t1_jegiu2d wrote

There are lots of companies and institutions with smallsats/cubesats looking to put them into orbit, but SpaceX came into the smallsat launch market as the 800-pound gorilla, offering Falcon 9 rideshares with prices as low as just $250,000 for a 50kg cubesat to sun-synchronous orbit. That disrupted the small launch market and altered the market dynamics so that small-launch rockets are no longer profitable.

Virgin Orbit couldn't hope to compete with that, at $12 million for 450kg to SSO. ($1.33 million for a 50kg cubesat, if 9 customers would sign up for a Launcherone launch to split the $12 million cost).

Other smallsat launch companies are in similar dire straits, such as Astra, which now doesn't even have a working launch vehicle after they abandoned their Rocket 3.

Relativity doesn't even look like it will be selling Terran 1 small-launch missions but going all in with their development of the bigger Terran R.

Rocket Lab saw the Space Falcon 9 rideshare threat coming at its core business (smallsat launches on Electron). Peter Beck was able to adjust Rocket Lab's business to adapt to the threat, by diversifying Rocket Lab's business into building satellite buses and other satellite components. Beck also took a huge gamble to try to remain relevant in the launch business by developing the medium-lift Neutron to stay competitive against Falcon 9, and it remains to be seen if this high-risk gamble will pay off.

Virgin Orbit is in a particularly tough spot. They have no viable path to a more versatile medium-lift launch vehicle-- Launcherone is the biggest rocket they can hang off a 747's inboard pylon. And they couldn't diversify their business away from small launch like Rocket Lab with its satellite bus and components business.

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